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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)65% (4367–2318, n=6685)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$23K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #979PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (187 of 268 open)40% (32 of 80 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 45)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 163)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 329)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 737)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $68—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
opposite sides · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $9.6KColeman Wong $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $81—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $541No $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $111—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $60—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211Over $6—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $172Lions $29—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $54Over $8—
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $53Over $7—
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40No $4—
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $33Yes $2—
W15 Szabolcsveresmart: Melinda Biro vs Emese Serkedi
opposite sides · consensus Emese Serkedi
—Melinda Biro $22Emese Serkedi $5—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $3—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $34—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $52—
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.8KNo $6—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $6.5KAnna Blinkova $32—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $3.2KAlexandra Eala $11—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $105—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
same side · consensus BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
—SV 07 Elversberg $1.4KSV 07 Elversberg $7—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $489No $247—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613Under $2—
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $120No $20—
W50 Heraklion: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Martha MATOULA $2Martha MATOULA $3—