Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212BreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)60% (12–8, n=20)43% (143–191, n=334)67% (383–189, n=572)
Consensus PnL$599$779K$128K-$126K
Tracked asPM monthly #507PM monthly #1PM monthly #37PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)33% (6 of 18 open)60% (48 of 80 open)66% (97 of 147 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212BreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $2.0KSuns $48KSuns $528
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $2Suns $9.1KSuns $11K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $254Clippers $62Suns $476
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $406Kings $13KKings $123
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $4.5KKings $6.8KKings $528
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $24KHeat $1.7K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $18KOver $3.8K
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $13KOver $354
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $7.6K—Legacy $1.1K—
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $3.5K—Magic $805
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $113Heat $1.9K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $932Under $1.0K
Spread: Suns (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Clippers $1.0KSuns $862
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $1.2KHeat $528
Creighton Bluejays vs. Kansas State Wildcats
opposite sides · consensus Creighton Bluejays
——Kansas State Wildcats $557Creighton Bluejays $875
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $295Under $986
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $64Under $1.2K
Spread: Ohio (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Miami (OH) $3Ohio $1.1K
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks
opposite sides · consensus Kansas Jayhawks
——Kentucky Wildcats $105Kansas Jayhawks $860
Spread: Suns (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Clippers $111Suns $694
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Jazz $61Heat $720
Spread: Heat (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Jazz $40Heat $617
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $108Magic $453
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Clippers $20Suns $402
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $87Under $305
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $2Suns $366
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $138—Magic $186
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $100Under $39
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $43—Suns $50
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $46KTrail Blazers $338—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $37KHeat $946
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $8.5KHeat $18K
Spread: Suns (-10.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $8.5KSuns $625
Magic vs. Kings: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $7.3KOver $171
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Magic $6.1KMagic $1.2K
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $4.7KHeat $846
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $3.2KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Magic (-10.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $4.2KMagic $114
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
——Colorado Buffaloes $3.2KColorado Buffaloes $1.1K
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Heat $3.0KHeat $1.1K
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5)
same side · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $3.1KUtah State Aggies $12
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.0KOver $95
Spread: Ohio (-14.5)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
——Miami (OH) $398Miami (OH) $1.9K
Spread: Ohio (-16.5)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
——Miami (OH) $633Miami (OH) $1.5K
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $33Under $2.0K
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $1.2KKings $839
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $18Under $1.5K
Spread: Ohio (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ohio
——Ohio $407Ohio $812
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
——Wyoming Cowboys $512Wyoming Cowboys $13
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $275Under $67