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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| etthhhh | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 58% (21–15, n=36) | 71% (2657–1095, n=3752) | 53% (472–417, n=889) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $886K | $502K | $399K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #779 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 55% (100 of 183 open) | 50% (68 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | etthhhh | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | — | Sabres $188 | Stars $137K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $16K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | — | Grizzlies $730 | Nets $6.6K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5.0K | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | — | Grizzlies $2.9K | Nets $984 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $26 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $1.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $207 | Over $2.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.1K | Under $140 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $853 | Under $986 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $70 |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $4 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.1K | Over $121 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $512 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $657 | Under $37 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $409 | Nets $134 |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flames | — | — | Kings $44 | Flames $156 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | — | Grizzlies $75 | Nets $105 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2 | Over $85 |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | — | — | Utah $50 | Sharks $22 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $33 | Pistons $17 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $8.2K | Grizzlies $76K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Bulls $6.5K | Bulls $32K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $1.1K | Grizzlies $36K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $5.9K | Heat $18K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $2.2K | Heat $14K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.5K | Over $12K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $423 | Heat $7.5K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | Texas Tech $738 | Texas Tech $6.4K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Bulls $4.6K | Bulls $1.8K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | — | Arkansas $2.2K | Arkansas $1.8K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $931 | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | — | Bulls $1.8K | Bulls $499 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | — | Heat $1.0K | Heat $1.3K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $710 | Heat $571 |
| Spread: Islanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $16 | Islanders $271 |
| Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | — | — | Nitin Kumar Sinha $3 | Nitin Kumar Sinha $182 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | — | Montana Grizzlies $20 | Montana Grizzlies $153 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 |