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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dwarfwowferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market44% (11385–14473, n=25858)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL—-$8.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #87PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (59 of 99 open)56% (22 of 39 open)55% (86 of 157 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdwarfwowferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $44KPanthers $6.6KBroncos $41K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $55KCommanders $285Rams $14K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $19KOver $6.8KUnder $4.4K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Rams $3.5KCommanders $133Rams $13K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0KUnder $5.3KUnder $7.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $53Eagles $131Giants $7.8K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $597Under $97Over $6.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1KUnder $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $92Lions $2.0KDolphins $3.4K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $26Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $95Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.7KSaints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $924Over $657
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $42KChiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $43KLions $47KLions $2.6K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $468Eagles $3.4KEagles $496
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $21KColts $5.7K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9.1KUnder $6.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Cowboys $5.9K—Colts $6.6K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $11K—76ers $371
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $8.1K
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $5—Chiefs $6.5K
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $6.0K—Panthers $2
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $5.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $53—Chiefs $5.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $1.4K—Chiefs $4.3K
Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Nicolas Jarry $5.5K—Felipe Meligeni Alves $90
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.5K—Lions $3.7K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Rams $4.2K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Under $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $442—Browns $2.4K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $208
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345—Over $847
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $386—Eagles $53
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $332Colts $76—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $261—Samir Banerjee $2
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $52—Eagles $66
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $67K—Browns $19K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $28K49ers $40K—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $61KEagles $5.6K—
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $11K—Lions $21K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $16K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $3.1K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $9.0K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K