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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (435–476, n=911)54% (338–285, n=623)
Consensus PnL—$449K$411K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #19PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (57 of 95 open)52% (67 of 128 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $40KCanucks $530
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $31KKings $3.2K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $23KTrail Blazers $1.1K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14KUnder $117
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $2.9KSpurs $8.2K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $674Houston $7.7K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $17Thunder $6.5K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.8KOver $128
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $5
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4Over $3.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $450Kings $1.8K
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.0KHawks $35
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $534Over $344
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $269Hawks $101
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $156Rockets $27
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $1
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $89KRockets $36K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $43KUnder $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $22KSpurs $1.5K
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $22KRangers $560
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11KOver $2.6K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $724Spurs $9.4K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $795Clippers $9.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.6KOver $317
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KUnder $872
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $547Jazz $2.3K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KOver $608
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $972Colorado $1.0K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.9K
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats
same side · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
—DePaul Blue Demons $43DePaul Blue Demons $1.1K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $231Over $800
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $47Clippers $481
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $3Predators $435
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $18Over $60
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $6Jazz $31
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $19Over $6