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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)48% (446–481, n=927)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL—$567K$521K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #37PM monthly #19PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (44 of 82 open)55% (66 of 121 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $39KCanucks $29
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Trail Blazers $29KKings $2.4K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $22KTrail Blazers $1.6K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $17KUnder $116
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $699Houston $9.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Warriors $241Spurs $8.3K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $39Thunder $6.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4Over $3.2K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $478Kings $1.7K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $847Over $344
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Jazz $372Rockets $24
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $332Thunder $55
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $88KRockets $53K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $51KUnder $1.8K
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
——Rangers $35KRangers $1.2K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $24KSpurs $2.1K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $746Spurs $9.6K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $844Clippers $8.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.9KOver $305
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $823Jazz $1.7K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2Over $1.2K
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $264Clippers $488
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $3Predators $458
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $18Over $57
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $10Jazz $51
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $23Under $13