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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | LlamaLoco0000 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (560–514, n=1074) | 48% (641–685, n=1326) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 53% (498–446, n=944) |
| Consensus PnL | $410K | $564K | $18K | $664K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (51 of 79 open) | 47% (21 of 45 open) | 0% (0 of 15 open) | 36% (27 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | — | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | — | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 34% (won 100% of 145) | — | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 52% (won 100% of 219) | — | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 8% (won 100% of 35) | — | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | LlamaLoco0000 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $258 | Texas $380K | — | Texas $309 |
| Flames vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Kings | Flames $3.6K | Kings $7 | — | Flames $10K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.1K | Over $843 | — | Over $183 |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $4.7K | LSU $23 | — | Texas $188 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.2K | Islanders $1.6K | — | Ducks $578 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | Over $19K | — | Over $677 |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.4K | Over $128 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.0K | Over $4 | — | Over $1.1K |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | Kayla Harrison $9.4K | — | Amanda Nunes $68K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $11K | — | — | Pepperdine Waves $52K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Arizona $3.0K | — | — | Utah $15K |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $15K | — | Ducks $592 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Utah $9.7K | — | Arizona $2.6K |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Over $5.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.8K | — | — | Under $426 |
| New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos | — | Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K | — | New Mexico Lobos $525 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State | North Dakota State $2.3K | Hawai'i $676 | — | — |
| Spread: Washington State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington State | Washington State $2.5K | — | — | Colorado State $74 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.9K | — | — | Wyoming $679 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Wyoming | — | Wyoming $91 | — | UTEP $2.3K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $651 | Under $996 | — | — |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flames | — | Kings $50 | — | Flames $156 |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | — | Texas $15K | — | Texas $128 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Chiefs $2.5K | — | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | — | — | Patriots $6.1K |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $138 | — | — | Over $11K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $3.6K | — | Texas Tech $5.9K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | — | — | Under $5.0K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | — | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Utah (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah | Utah $627 | Utah $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | — | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA same side · consensus UTSA | — | North Texas $2.2K | — | North Texas $541 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | — | Colts $3 |
| Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $13 | Under $1.0K | — | — |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $11 | — | Over $509 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $332 | — | — | Rockets $75 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $125 | — | — | North Dakota State $147 |
| Spread: Utah State (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah State | Utah State $17 | — | — | Utah State $218 |
| Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | — | Nitin Kumar Sinha $157 | — | Nitin Kumar Sinha $49 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $9 | — | — | North Dakota State $157 |