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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplossxndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)68% (265–125, n=390)65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (15393–15458, n=30851)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$8.6K$4.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #24was PM monthly #959PM monthly #101PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus74% (143 of 192 open)no open consensus position70% (107 of 152 open)55% (71 of 129 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +3 pts n=35, ROI −11%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Esports −2 pts, n=62NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%55% of 97 at avg 55¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 23% of 13)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)30% (won 38% of 29)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)34% (won 61% of 33)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)23% (won 86% of 22)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplossxndb1omnibus-076daa
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $2.2K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $77——Yes $3.2K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $519——Arthur Fils $1.9K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K——Yes $16
Cairns Taipans vs. Illawarra Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Illawarra Hawks
Illawarra Hawks $1.3K——Cairns Taipans $86
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $641——Yes $424
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861——Tommy Paul $23
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $442——Yes $363
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514——Under $207
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split $214——Lincoln Red Imps FC $274
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $91——Yes $360
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $199——Over $164
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $292——Yes $70
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $264——Yes $89
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $329——Over $6
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $287——Yes $9
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $176——Yes $49
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $188——No $5
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $125——Yes $38
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $134——Yes $2
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2——Tiphanie Lemaitre $99
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52——Under $43
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Thunder
Sydney Thunder $32——Perth Scorchers $28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $5——BetBoom Team $26
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
opposite sides · consensus BakS eSports
BakS eSports $5——Honvéd $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K——Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $9.7K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $11KYes $3
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.2K——No $175
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.2K——Yes $3
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.4K——Yes $216
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $110——No $1.8K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8K——No $15
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $69——Giannicola Misasi $1.7K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $158——Yes $1.5K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $337——No $789
Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)
same side · consensus Shanghai Shenhua FC
Shanghai Shenhua FC $757——Shanghai Shenhua FC $301
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $365——Over $672
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $681——No $79
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $442——No $19
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $365——No $65
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $367——No $25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $264——No $117
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
Energetik Mingechevir $351——Energetik Mingechevir $2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $286——No $21
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
No $52——No $234
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $89——No $171
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $103——Under $115
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $170——Yes $29
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $97——Yes $60