Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs

7 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold FURIA (47%) · FURIA at 66¢ · $83K held · ends Nov 6

FURIA66¢BetBoom Team34¢Ends Fri, Nov 6, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

FURIA

Consensus Traders

FURIA 47%

Total Value

$83.2K

Combined PnL

-$396.77

Smart Money Entry

64.9¢ → 65.5¢

+1% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralFURIA at 66%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

FURIA

7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

FURIA66%

BetBoom Team35%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team8 traders

Total Value$36.1K

Total Shares101,870

Combined PnL-$414.03

FURIA7 traders

Total Value$47.1K

Total Shares72,536

Combined PnL+$17.26

BetBoom Team — 53%FURIA — 47%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Building

+4 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 65%

Freshness

Mature

17h old

Flip Quality

Watch

1 consensus flip

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

47% of non-arb traders are on FURIA. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 65% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleBetBoom Team 67% · 3

Diverging

ctrBetBoom Team 67% · 12

Diverging

Hand-pickedBetBoom Team 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000BetBoom Team 50% · 14

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NS NS13CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 35.6¢	$85.4K	$30.3K	-$74.52	52% 433-397 (830)
KateBollinger	FURIAavg 65.1¢	$24.1K	$18.0K	+$118.05	68% 1814-856 (2670)
LL lllllllIlll	FURIAavg 65.1¢	$13.4K	$13.3K	-$114.96	54% 318-272 (590)
WI Wiretransferxyz	FURIAavg 63¢	$7.9K	$8.1K	+$188.08	53% 791-692 (1483)
CR crmannetje	FURIAavg 66¢	$7.7K	$7.5K	-$174.77	54% 25-21 (46)
relativesignificanceCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 37.6¢	$4.7K	$4.4K	-$265.07	58% 149-109 (258)
HL HLEbritniCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 38¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$75	51% 21-20 (41)
VeryLucky888CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 34.8¢	$275.89	$277.31	+$1.42	58% 46650-33619 (80269)
KA Kaczka	FURIAavg 66.1¢	$127.19	$125.96	-$1.23	51% 467-450 (917)
GH ghorrock	FURIAavg 64.2¢	$147.51	$43.26	+$1.9	58% 21138-15369 (36507)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 35¢	$28.31	$28.72	+$0.4	50% 8281-8331 (16612)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 36.1¢	$26.79	$25.95	-$0.84	50% 21143-21403 (42546)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 35¢	$19.51	$19.51	-$0	50% 25799-25489 (51288)
GA GaditimaCTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 36.1¢	$13.38	$12.96	-$0.42	48% 7368-8072 (15440)
FL Flaznorp<$100	FURIAavg 64.2¢	$4.99	$5.06	+$0.19	51% 25691-24411 (50102)

NS13CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$85,380.76

Value

$30.3K

PnL

-$74.52

Record

52%

433-397 (830)

KateBollinger

FURIA

Invested

$24,106.36

Value

$18.0K

PnL

+$118.05

Record

68%

1814-856 (2670)

lllllllIlll

FURIA

Invested

$13,447.37

Value

$13.3K

PnL

-$114.96

Record

54%

318-272 (590)

Wiretransferxyz

FURIA

Invested

$7,898

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$188.08

Record

53%

791-692 (1483)

crmannetje

FURIA

Invested

$7,690.6

Value

$7.5K

PnL

-$174.77

Record

54%

25-21 (46)

relativesignificanceCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4,684.59

Value

$4.4K

PnL

-$265.07

Record

58%

149-109 (258)

HLEbritniCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,139.99

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$75

Record

51%

21-20 (41)

VeryLucky888CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$275.89

Value

$277.31

PnL

+$1.42

Record

58%

46650-33619 (80269)

Kaczka

FURIA

Invested

$127.19

Value

$125.96

PnL

-$1.23

Record

51%

467-450 (917)

ghorrock

FURIA

Invested

$147.51

Value

$43.26

PnL

+$1.9

Record

58%

21138-15369 (36507)

RLWGCTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$28.31

Value

$28.72

PnL

+$0.4

Record

50%

8281-8331 (16612)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$26.79

Value

$25.95

PnL

-$0.84

Record

50%

21143-21403 (42546)

sentrioCTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$19.51

Value

$19.51

PnL

-$0

Record

50%

25799-25489 (51288)

GaditimaCTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$13.38

Value

$12.96

PnL

-$0.42

Record

48%

7368-8072 (15440)

Flaznorp<$100

FURIA

Invested

$4.99

Value

$5.06

PnL

+$0.19

Record

51%

25691-24411 (50102)

Research grade

NeutralFURIA at 66%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

FURIA

7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Building

+4 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 65%

Freshness

Mature

17h old

Flip Quality

Watch

1 consensus flip

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

47% of non-arb traders are on FURIA. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 65% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleBetBoom Team 67% · 3

Diverging

ctrBetBoom Team 67% · 12

Diverging

Hand-pickedBetBoom Team 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000BetBoom Team 50% · 14

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that FURIA wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance67.6%

65.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$47.90

Max Loss

-$100.00

147.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.