Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Spread: Machida Zelvia (-1.5)
3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Shanghai Shenhua FC (75%) · Shanghai Shenhua FC at 100¢ · $7K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
4
Shanghai Shenhua FC 75%
2 arb excluded
$7.1K
$457.69
Smart Money Signal
3 of 4 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Machida Zelviaavg 43.1¢ | $3.9K | $3.3K | -$566.67 | 51% 25691-24411 (50102) |
| └ Shanghai Shenhua FC leg | Shanghai Shenhua FCavg 61.3¢ | $1.6K | $2.5K | +$981.65 | |
| └ Machida Zelvia leg | Machida Zelviaavg 43.1¢ | $2.3K | $745.69 | $-1.5K | |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Machida Zelviaavg 45.4¢ | $1.9K | $1.6K | -$330.48 | 50% 28405-28302 (56707) |
| └ Shanghai Shenhua FC leg | Shanghai Shenhua FCavg 61.7¢ | $762.83 | $1.2K | +$471.54 | |
| └ Machida Zelvia leg | Machida Zelviaavg 45.4¢ | $1.2K | $357.74 | -$802.02 | |
LO looppau | Shanghai Shenhua FCavg 99.9¢ | $999 | $999 | -$0 | 99% 12663-101 (12764) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Shenhua FCavg 52.4¢ | $334.78 | $607.89 | +$273.11 | 50% 21143-21403 (42546) |
SE sentrio | Shanghai Shenhua FCavg 50.8¢ | $159.97 | $314.49 | +$154.52 | 50% 25799-25489 (51288) |
 rayvanmechelenCTR | Machida Zelviaavg 48.2¢ | $250.45 | $280.5 | +$30.06 | 54% 2569-2229 (4798) |
Invested
$3,853.76
Value
$3.3K
PnL
-$566.67
Record
51%
25691-24411 (50102)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,922.59
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$330.48
Record
50%
28405-28302 (56707)
Both legs:
Invested
$999
Value
$999
PnL
-$0
Record
99%
12663-101 (12764)
Invested
$334.78
Value
$607.89
PnL
+$273.11
Record
50%
21143-21403 (42546)
Invested
$159.97
Value
$314.49
PnL
+$154.52
Record
50%
25799-25489 (51288)
rayvanmechelenCTRInvested
$250.45
Value
$280.5
PnL
+$30.06
Record
54%
2569-2229 (4798)