Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)47% (692–767, n=1459)53% (532–472, n=1004)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$865K$635K$530K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #14PM monthly #53PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)63% (94 of 149 open)53% (58 of 109 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $38KBills $122KJets $54K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $10KJaguars $80KTitans $109K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $23K49ers $62KCowboys $275
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $21KPackers $38KVikings $12K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $150K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $39KColts $1.3K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $22KChiefs $19K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28KUnder $9—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25KUnder $2.8K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $16K—Chiefs $7.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $21K76ers $24—
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Packers $7.1KVikings $8.5K
Spread: France (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Türkiye
—France $14KTürkiye $55—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.8KUnder $123—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.5KOver $2.2K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.0KOver $907—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $26Jets $5.2K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $4.8KCardinals $199—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KUnder $609—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $3.1KPacers $292
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KOver $270—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $585Under $876—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $558Oklahoma $694—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $24KUnder $27K—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
—Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $14KBrowns $157—
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Bills $1.7KBills $7.8K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $3.3K—Cowboys $5.8K
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.1KOver $937—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.7KUnder $3.0K—
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Saints
—Panthers $4.5KPanthers $1.1K—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.4KUnder $284—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KOver $264—
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KOver $1.1K—
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $531Dolphins $2.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Titans $516—Titans $95
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
—Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $276—
Spread: Panthers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Saints
—Panthers $175Panthers $71—