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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NM-P | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 82% (5526–1224, n=6750) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | $52K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #508 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 68% (238 of 352 open) | 66% (137 of 207 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
64 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NM-P | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati vs. Houston opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | — | Cincinnati $108 | Houston $34K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $17K | Under $475 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | Yes $231 | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.4K | No $1.1K | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.4K | Yes $3.7K | — |
| Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $6.3K | Under $76 | — |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $128 | No $4.9K | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | No $1.3K | — |
| Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $184 | No $1.9K | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | Under $936 | — |
| Watford FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.0K | Over $2 | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | No $1.6K | — |
| Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $59 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | Auburn $308 | Arkansas $770 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $614 | No $433 | — |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $967 | Yes $79 | — |
| Spread: UAB (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Charlotte | — | — | UAB $54 | Charlotte $984 |
| KVC Westerlo vs. Royal Charleroi SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $858 | Over $146 | — |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $188 | No $770 | — |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | Miami (FL) $416 | Notre Dame $353 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $583 | No $120 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $225 | Yes $436 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $163 | Seahawks $479 | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $259 | Yes $266 | — |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $437 | Yes $66 | — |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3 | No $437 | — |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $218 | Rams $193 | — |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $67 | No $194 | — |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | No $37 | — |
| Nets vs. Hawks opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $2 | Nets $140 | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 FC Augsburg? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $20 | No $116 | — |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | No $41 | — |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $20K | No $27 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $1.2K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $11K | Under $540 | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.2K | No $1.7K | — |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.7K | Under $935 | — |
| Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee same side · consensus Middle Tennessee | — | Middle Tennessee $1.2K | — | Middle Tennessee $4.9K |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | No $1.3K | — |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.3K | Over $461 | — |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $4.5K | No $590 | — |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | No $198 | — |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | No $80 | — |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | No $1.6K | — |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | No $1.1K | — |
| Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | No $528 | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | No $983 | — |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $861 | No $1.5K | — |
| BYU vs. Utah: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $174 | Over $2.1K |
| Cádiz CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $546 | — |