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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2084–849, n=2933)54% (448–384, n=832)55% (392–321, n=713)
Consensus PnL$0$384K$332K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #989PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (94 of 170 open)70% (81 of 116 open)44% (30 of 68 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 37% of 79)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)24% (won 59% of 138)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)43% (won 72% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)19% (won 98% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $1.1KHeat $46
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.9K—Yes $364
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.2KJames Madison $1.3K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6K—Yes $1.3K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $2.4KMavericks $88
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $1.8KNets $13
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886—Yes $374
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $986—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $392Auburn $370
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $48—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108—Under $76
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110—Over $11
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $5.2KPelicans $7.7K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
——Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.1K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KUnder $200
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KUnder $5
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $870
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $263South Carolina $542
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
——BYU $297BYU $355
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $459Pelicans $96
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
——Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $5—Georgia State $512
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $43Kraken $54
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7—Yes $3