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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188binaklFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)51% (44–42, n=86)71% (3004–1251, n=4255)48% (701–773, n=1474)
Consensus PnL$841K$26K$519K$871K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #863PM monthly #9PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (128 of 237 open)56% (83 of 147 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%—41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)—24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)—11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188binaklFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $71KNo $2.1K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $15KOver $19K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $1549ers $23K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $56Dolphins $13K
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.5KOver $6.8K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $269Knicks $9.2K
Will Spain vs. England end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $5.5KNo $142
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $370Jazz $5.1K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $70676ers $2.9K
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $879Pacers $1.4K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
——High Point Panthers $597Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K
Will France vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $732No $792
Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
——Marquette Golden Eagles $1.2KMissouri Tigers $9
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
——Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13
Drummondville: Joshua Peck vs Theodore Dean
opposite sides · consensus Theodore Dean
——Theodore Dean $805Joshua Peck $280
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $755Pacers $153
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $681Pacers $207
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $439
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
——Missouri Tigers $16Marquette Golden Eagles $116
Drummondville: Matt Kuhar vs Vladislav Melnic
opposite sides · consensus Matt Kuhar
——Matt Kuhar $27Vladislav Melnic $20
Will CD Godoy Cruz vs. CSD Tristan Suarez end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $16No $14
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $7.3K76ers $75K
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
——France $6.2KFrance $14K
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $19KYes $1.2K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $3.7KPacers $16K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $627Seahawks $19K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $1.9KPacers $17K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $55Falcons $9.1K
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
same side · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
——Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.6KNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $7.4K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $125Suns $6.0K
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $672Under $3.9K
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——No $656No $1.3K
Will Türkiye win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KYes $6
Spread: Pacers (-1.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $1.2K76ers $5
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
same side · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $1.1KOle Miss $62
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
same side · consensus Gladiators Trier
——Gladiators Trier $593Gladiators Trier $360
Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $628Yes $19
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. North Dakota State Bison
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
——North Dakota State Bison $77North Dakota State Bison $192