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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x2dda38...f23b34 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (513–552, n=1065) | 55% (394–322, n=716) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $546K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (96 of 148 open) | 54% (93 of 172 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 37% (won 100% of 126) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 171) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2dda38...f23b34 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Hurricanes $40K | Kraken $631 |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $30K | Alabama $3.5K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Tennessee $25K | Texas A&M $1.1K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $25K | Over $323 |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $22K | Under $121 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $11K | Under $1.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $608 | Over $12K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $12K | Duke $388 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $540 | Under $5.2K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $291 | Over $4.4K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $4.5K | Stanford $53 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $3.6K | Vanderbilt $621 |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $74 |
| Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | Under $414 |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.5K | Over $3 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $2.5K | Canadiens $764 |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | Tulane $608 | Rice $2.2K |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $2.2K | Duke $540 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.6K | Over $278 |
| Spread: SMU (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | SMU $39 | Wake Forest $23 |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | — | Kennesaw State $29K | Kennesaw State $1.4K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $10K | Nets $16K |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Northwestern | — | Northwestern $20K | Northwestern $863 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) same side · consensus Northwestern | — | Northwestern $19K | Northwestern $1.8K |
| Spread: Clemson (-15.5) same side · consensus Georgia Tech | — | Georgia Tech $20K | Georgia Tech $100 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $15K | Over $531 |
| UAB vs. Temple same side · consensus Temple | — | Temple $14K | Temple $132 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | USC $14K | USC $2 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $6.3K | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.5K | Over $755 |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | — | Blues $4.4K | Blues $282 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | Under $553 |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $225 | Under $3.5K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.4K | Over $54 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.8K | Under $322 |
| Spread: Wisconsin (-6.5) same side · consensus Wisconsin | — | Wisconsin $1.4K | Wisconsin $212 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | Cincinnati $365 | Cincinnati $218 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $437 | Under $25 |