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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | fantasy7788 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (322–94, n=416) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $245K | — | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #692 | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (95 of 141 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 63% (96 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 12) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 100% of 36) | 0% | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
59 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | fantasy7788 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3.6K | — | — | Heat $58 |
| Spread: Heat (-32.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3.3K | — | — | Heat $31 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.2K | — | — | Under $77 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.2K | — | — | Under $53 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $2.2K | — | — | 76ers $873 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $2.6K | — | — | 76ers $160 |
| Spread: Heat (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.2K | — | — | Heat $248 |
| Spread: Heat (-34.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.4K | — | — | Heat $28 |
| Spread: Suns (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $2.1K | — | — | Suns $25 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.6K | — | — | 76ers $351 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.7K | — | — | Under $165 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $30 | — | — | Bowling Green $1.8K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 243.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | — | Over $11 |
| Spread: Heat (-36.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.6K | — | — | Heat $6 |
| Spread: Heat (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.3K | — | — | Heat $267 |
| Spread: Suns (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.4K | — | — | Suns $7 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $331 | — | — | Under $951 |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $1.1K | — | — | Jazz $149 |
| Spread: Heat (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.1K | — | — | Heat $113 |
| Spread: Suns (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.2K | — | — | Suns $10 |
| Spread: Suns (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.1K | — | — | Suns $10 |
| Spread: Jazz (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | — | Jazz $28 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $291 | — | — | Under $773 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $995 | — | — | Under $9 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $91 | — | — | Under $878 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $409 | — | — | Under $560 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $887 | — | — | Clippers $2 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $697 | — | — | Magic $178 |
| Spread: Jazz (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $817 | — | — | Jazz $23 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $104 | — | — | Under $648 |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $399 | — | — | Magic $220 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | — | Under $553 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $163 | — | — | Over $438 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $530 | — | — | Under $51 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 202.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $46 | — | — | Over $468 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $218 | — | — | Under $286 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $294 | — | — | Over $198 |
| Spread: Suns (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $458 | — | — | Suns $9 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $12 | — | — | Suns $431 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 198.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $112 | — | — | Over $285 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $381 | — | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $60 | — | — | Suns $208 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 210.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $40 | — | — | Over $206 |
| Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | Ohio $14 | — | — | Miami (OH) $226 |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Celtics $8 | — | — | 76ers $87 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $55 | — | — | Under $9 |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 143.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $20 | — | — | Over $31 |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $4 | — | — | Heat $32 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $7 | — | — | Magic $3 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $13K | — | — | Celtics $24K |