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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhFlaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)53% (472–417, n=889)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$15K$502K$399K$769K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #129was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (100 of 185 open)51% (67 of 131 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)20% (won 98% of 119)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhFlaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $160Stars $137K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $626Grizzlies $76K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $17K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $728Nets $6.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.5KUnder $1.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.8KNets $984—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.7KNets $1.2K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $205Over $2.4K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.1KUnder $140—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $853Under $986—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KOver $70—
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $4—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $121—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260Oklahoma $512—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $409Nets $134—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $44Flames $156—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $76Nets $105—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $85—
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $50Sharks $22—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $34Pistons $17—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $6.5KBulls $32K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $36K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $6.6KHeat $18K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KHeat $14K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $12K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $423Heat $7.5K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $6.7K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.6KBulls $1.8K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $2.2KArkansas $1.8K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $931Under $2.4K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.8KBulls $499—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $1.0KHeat $1.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $717Heat $571—
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $16Islanders $271—
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Nitin Kumar Sinha $3Nitin Kumar Sinha $182—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $20Montana Grizzlies $155—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—