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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| etthhhh | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 71% (2657–1095, n=3752) | 83% (24–5, n=29) | 53% (472–417, n=889) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $502K | $328K | $399K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #779 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (100 of 183 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (68 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | etthhhh | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $188 | — | Stars $137K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | — | Utah $16K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $730 | — | Nets $6.6K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5.0K | — | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.9K | — | Nets $984 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Under $26 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | — | Nets $1.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $207 | — | Over $2.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | — | Under $140 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $853 | — | Under $986 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $70 |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | — | Timberwolves $4 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $121 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $512 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $657 | — | Under $37 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $409 | — | Nets $134 |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flames | — | Kings $44 | — | Flames $156 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $75 | — | Nets $105 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | — | Over $85 |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | — | Utah $50 | — | Sharks $22 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $33 | — | Pistons $17 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $8.2K | — | Grizzlies $76K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $6.5K | — | Bulls $32K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.1K | — | Grizzlies $36K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.9K | — | Heat $18K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $2.2K | — | Heat $14K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $12K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $423 | — | Heat $7.5K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $738 | — | Texas Tech $6.4K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.6K | — | Bulls $1.8K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | Arkansas $2.2K | — | Arkansas $1.8K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $931 | — | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.8K | — | Bulls $499 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $1.0K | — | Heat $1.3K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $710 | — | Heat $571 |
| Spread: Islanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $16 | — | Islanders $271 |
| Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | — | Nitin Kumar Sinha $3 | — | Nitin Kumar Sinha $182 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $20 | — | Montana Grizzlies $153 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |