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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| appleperson | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (446–481, n=927) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $521K | $403K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 58% (49 of 84 open) | 54% (67 of 123 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $39K | Canucks $29 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $34K | Kings $2.4K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $23K | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $18K | Under $116 |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $699 | Houston $8.0K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $241 | Spurs $8.3K |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $39 | Thunder $6.5K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4 | Over $3.2K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $461 | Kings $2.4K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.3K | Over $207 |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $847 | Over $344 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Jazz $234 | Rockets $24 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $5 | Thunder $47 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3 | Under $1 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $85K | Rockets $53K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $49K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $35K | Rangers $1.2K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $22K | Spurs $2.1K |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) same side · consensus UCLA | — | UCLA $21K | UCLA $1.5K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $11K | Over $3.5K |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Golden Knights $11K | Golden Knights $79 |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $746 | Spurs $9.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $910 | Clippers $9.4K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.9K | Over $305 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Over $876 |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $823 | Jazz $1.7K |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $1.1K | Colorado $1.0K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $224 | Over $1.2K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $2 | Over $1.2K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers same side · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $209 | Clippers $488 |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $3 | Predators $458 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18 | Over $57 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $10 | Jazz $51 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $23 | Under $13 |