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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (446–481, n=927) | 54% (345–290, n=635) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $521K | $403K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 49% (39 of 80 open) | 53% (61 of 115 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $352 | Clippers $488 | Thunder $244K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.0K | Clippers $10K | Thunder $6.6K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $241 | Spurs $8.3K | Warriors $3.4K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $93K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $39K | Canucks $29 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $31K | Kings $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $22K | Trail Blazers $1.6K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $18K | Under $116 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $699 | Houston $8.7K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4 | Over $3.2K | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $847 | Over $344 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $424 | Thunder $49 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Jazz $372 | Rockets $24 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3 | Under $1 | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | — | Team Falcons $978 | Team Falcons $136K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $50K | Under $1.8K | — |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $326 | Gen.G $43K |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $35K | Rangers $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $24K | Spurs $2.1K | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) same side · consensus UCLA | — | UCLA $21K | UCLA $1.5K | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Predators | — | Golden Knights $11K | Golden Knights $79 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $746 | Spurs $9.6K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.4K | Over $305 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $823 | Jazz $1.7K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $2 | Over $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $3 | Predators $411 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18 | Over $57 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $10 | Jazz $51 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $23 | Under $13 | — |