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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpnigiri99plsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)70% (3024–1268, n=4292)53% (542–483, n=1025)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$518K$643K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #98was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus58% (166 of 286 open)59% (57 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 6% of 540)12% (won 45% of 89)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 322)25% (won 71% of 190)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 152)45% (won 80% of 347)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 319)18% (won 99% of 142)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpnigiri99plsgodsaveme
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1649ers $103K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $13KOver $16K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $24KOver $339—
Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.5KYes $19K—
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.7KYes $1—
Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.3KUnder $7—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $798Over $5.0K—
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $4Raptors $5.4K—
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.0KYes $5—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.9KUnder $14—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $717Over $1.7K—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $140Raptors $1.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $145Celtics $1.1K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10Under $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $898Celtics $1—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $121Lakers $502—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $366Jazz $64—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5Over $161—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $171KYes $12K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $4.8KCeltics $28K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Raptors $435Raptors $12K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $156Mavericks $11K—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7.7KYes $1.3K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $900Under $307—
Spread: England (-1.5)
same side · consensus Spain
England $1.1KEngland $17—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $981—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $295Under $529—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1Under $670—
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Elina Svitolina $649Elina Svitolina $16—
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $23Celtics $589—
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Spurs $176Spurs $190—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $151Under $187—
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $130Celtics $164—
Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers
same side · consensus Pacific Tigers
Air Force Falcons $115Air Force Falcons $98—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $54Over $45—