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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | yuyuvkxDD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2657–1095, n=3752) | 53% (472–417, n=889) | 58% (11–8, n=19) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $502K | $399K | $769K | -$2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #129 | was PM monthly #70 | was PM monthly #418 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (100 of 185 open) | 51% (67 of 131 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | yuyuvkxDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $160 | Stars $137K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $626 | Grizzlies $76K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $17K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $728 | Nets $6.6K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5.5K | Under $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.8K | Nets $984 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $1.2K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $205 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.1K | Under $140 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $853 | Under $986 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | Over $70 | — | — |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $4 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | Over $121 | — | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $512 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $409 | Nets $134 | — | — |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flames | Kings $44 | Flames $156 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $76 | Nets $105 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $72 | Pistons $17 | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | Over $85 | — | — |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | Utah $50 | Sharks $22 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $6.5K | Bulls $32K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.1K | Grizzlies $36K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $6.6K | Heat $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $2.2K | Heat $14K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | Over $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $422 | Heat $7.5K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $738 | Texas Tech $6.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.6K | Bulls $1.8K | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $2.2K | Arkansas $1.8K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $931 | Under $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.8K | Bulls $499 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $1.0K | Heat $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $731 | Heat $571 | — | — |
| Spread: Islanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Islanders | Islanders $16 | Islanders $271 | — | — |
| Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Nitin Kumar Sinha $3 | Nitin Kumar Sinha $182 | — | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $20 | Montana Grizzlies $155 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — | — |