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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1pIebeRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)70% (730–307, n=1037)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$1.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #203 + pinnedPM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (270 of 393 open)73% (62 of 85 open)80% (131 of 164 open)61% (51 of 83 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Mentions −13 pts, n=20—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)22% (won 6% of 204)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)6% (won 47% of 55)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)6% (won 52% of 56)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)67% (won 96% of 629)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1pIebeRN1
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
Noma Noha Akugue $589——Sofya Lansere $24K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KUnder $6.4K——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $333—Yes $20K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $215—Yes $6.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.3K——Under $134
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.7K——Yes $282
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $391——Magda Linette $4.6K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.4K——Robin Montgomery $256
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1——Over $2.5K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $146—Yes $2.2K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $593—Yes $1.6K—
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $274——No $1.8K
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $231—Yes $1.8K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8K——No $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $794——No $448
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Will SS Juve Stabia vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $36——Yes $309
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40——Yes $263
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $248——Over $11
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $172—Yes $14—
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141—Yes $5—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $24——Under $2
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $91K——No $40K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $54KNo $10—
Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $28K——Yes $8.3K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $26K—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Jerome Kym $1.7K——Jerome Kym $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $1.2K——Toby Samuel $15K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K——Bianca Andreescu $8.4K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $11K——Under $1.4K
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.7K——Under $4.5K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4K——Yes $1.3K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.4K——Over $2.6K
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2K——No $20
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $3.5K
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4K——Over $1.5K
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $938——No $3.9K
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K——No $74
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.5K——Under $39
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $1.7K
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $191—Yes $2.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
Inaki Montes $879——Inaki Montes $1.3K