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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplopezmartinndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)no settled market65% (876–462, n=1338)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$4.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #555PM monthly #21PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus70% (157 of 223 open)no open consensus position79% (19 of 24 open)57% (83 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)25% (won 25% of 4)13% (won 16% of 160)8% (won 60% of 899)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)19% (won 33% of 3)20% (won 40% of 253)21% (won 87% of 2444)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)31% (won 60% of 5)24% (won 57% of 310)39% (won 95% of 4418)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)25% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 99% of 3709)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplopezmartinndb1omnibus-076daa
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.7K——Under $15K
India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India
opposite sides · consensus India
New Zealand $20——India $12K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.6K——Tomas Machac $1.1K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $325
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K——Yes $363
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $84——Yes $1.2K
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Jacopo Vasami
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
Jacopo Vasami $931——Adrian Andreev $3
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $379——Yes $73
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380——Yes $23
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $340——Over $25
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $304——Deborah Chiesa $20
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12——Thunder $251
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi $169——Haruna Arakawa $71
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $191——Yes $30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $13——TheMongolz $147
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $124——Yes $16
Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $12——Mattia Bellucci $115
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
Esport Academy Copenhagen $4——EYEBALLERS $120
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $55——Under $41
M15 Maanshan: Lingxi Zhao vs James Connel
opposite sides · consensus James Connel
James Connel $8——Lingxi Zhao $48
W15 Monastir: Pauline Gloeckner vs Sophie Ehrenbergerova
opposite sides · consensus Pauline Gloeckner
Pauline Gloeckner $11——Sophie Ehrenbergerova $20
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
Sara Saito $2——Yuki Naito $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $1.6K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $6.6K——No $1.6K
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K——No $798
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $6.9K——Aliaksandra Sasnovich $158
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K——No $429
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.5K——Yes $1.7K
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.0K——No $84
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K——No $287
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.4K——Yes $370
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $21
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $730——Yes $1.5K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K——Juan Bautista Torres $217
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $236
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Oksana Selekhmeteva $74——Oksana Selekhmeteva $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——Yes $65
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $1
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $1.1K——Daniil Medvedev $14
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $111——No $957
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $1
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $327——No $624
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $742——No $108
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $492——Joaquin Aguilar $277
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $50——Spurs $698
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $716——Over $5
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $652——Over $2
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $68——Over $525