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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardhortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)52% (590–548, n=1138)67% (6–3, n=9)48% (670–739, n=1409)
Consensus PnL$528K$400K$526$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #883PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus48% (90 of 189 open)66% (50 of 76 open)44% (4 of 9 open)55% (23 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)—5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)—34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)—52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)—9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardhortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $310Vikings $6.8K—Packers $15K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $612Seahawks $20K—Seahawks $19K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $156Mavericks $2.4K—Mavericks $533
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.3KSaints $20K——
Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K——Over $8.6K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1649ers $8.4K——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $185—Jazz $4.7K
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $2.4K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Under $1.8K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $252—Clippers $2.2K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31Under $1.7K——
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K——Over $300
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—Yes $83—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $77Mavericks $202——
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $171——Over $11
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $18—Pacers $121
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1K—Patriots $19K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $7.9K—Vikings $14K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.4K—Browns $19K
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
PARIVISION $18——PARIVISION $20K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165——Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K——Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $5.4K—Rams $4.9K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $2.3K—Cowboys $3.3K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $489——76ers $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Rockets $360Rockets $2.4K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $2.0K——
Unicaja vs. Basquet Girona
same side · consensus Unicaja
Unicaja $1.5K——Unicaja $204
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
Vadym Ursu $977——Vadym Ursu $37
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8——Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $610——Under $317
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $683—Yes $44—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $411—Yes $26—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
Creighton Bluejays $51Creighton Bluejays $300——
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Arabian Aces
Royal Desert Champions $55——Royal Desert Champions $77
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
Omega $3——Omega $118
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35——Yes $44
Montevideo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Santiago De la Fuente
same side · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
Santiago De la Fuente $9——Santiago De la Fuente $7