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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpmelody1223RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)no settled market48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M—$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #674PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)72% (96 of 133 open)100% (2 of 2 open)58% (39 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpmelody1223RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Jazz $1.7K—Timberwolves $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $1.1K—Mavericks $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4K—Over $136
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Flyers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flames $640—Flyers $839
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $85—Celtics $921
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Penguins $23—Ducks $945
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $155—Mavericks $763
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $817—Over $11
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $500—Bucks $199
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $231—Over $224
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $86—Over $32
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K——Bears $29K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $5.1K—Celtics $33K
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $4.6K—Mavericks $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $2.8K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.6K—Under $2.9K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6K—Over $1.0K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.3K—Under $1.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.9K—Mavericks $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $2.8K—Bucks $112
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Under $744
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $996
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $596
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $472—Celtics $1.3K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $179—Over $1.5K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $7
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $279—Celtics $1.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $757—Mavericks $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96——Bears $877
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1