Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko

18 of 27 top Polymarket traders hold Patrick Zahraj (67%) · Patrick Zahraj at 100¢ · $125K held · ends Nov 15

Patrick Zahraj>99¢Sebastian Dominko<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Patrick Zahraj

Consensus Traders

Patrick Zahraj 67%

Total Value

$124.6K

Combined PnL

$-11.7K

Smart Money Entry

61.9¢ → 100¢

+62% since entry · 18 traders

Research grade

NeutralPatrick Zahraj at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Patrick Zahraj

18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Patrick Zahraj100%

Sebastian Dominko0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Patrick Zahraj18 traders

Total Value$116.4K

Total Shares117,087

Combined PnL+$43.8K

Sebastian Dominko9 traders

Total Value$8.2K

Total Shares136,528

Combined PnL$-55.5K

Patrick Zahraj — 67%Sebastian Dominko — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FE ferrariChampions2026	Patrick Zahrajavg 62.9¢	$40.9K	$64.9K	+$24.0K	46% 33417-38911 (72328)
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	Patrick Zahrajavg 59.8¢	$17.1K	$28.5K	+$11.5K	53% 6645-5939 (12584)
FL Flaznorp	Patrick Zahrajavg 78.4¢	$4.9K	$5.9K	+$1.0K	52% 47368-44608 (91976)
RN1	Patrick Zahrajavg 55.3¢	$3.2K	$5.8K	+$2.6K	53% 70249-61821 (132070)
38 38791873984189	Patrick Zahrajavg 50.5¢	$4.9K	$3.7K	+$2.8K	48% 70301-75984 (146285)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Sebastian Dominkoavg 75.1¢	$5.5K	$3.4K	$-2.1K	47% 2157-2403 (4560)
VE VenusianCTR	Sebastian Dominkoavg 48.9¢	$4.9K	$2.9K	$-2.0K	47% 2189-2445 (4634)
LI Limousin	Patrick Zahrajavg 61.5¢	$2.2K	$2.4K	+$138.97	49% 2223-2352 (4575)
SE sentrio	Patrick Zahrajavg 65¢	$1.3K	$2.0K	+$684.62	50% 27970-27422 (55392)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Patrick Zahrajavg 62¢	$1.0K	$1.6K	+$615.59	46% 2028-2381 (4409)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Sebastian Dominkoavg 65.2¢	$5.4K	$1.5K	$-3.9K	47% 2148-2414 (4562)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Patrick Zahrajavg 60¢	$305.01	$508.1	+$203.09	56% 39466-31114 (70580)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Patrick Zahrajavg 55.8¢	$248.74	$282.02	+$33.27	53% 15513-13750 (29263)
0X 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816	Patrick Zahrajavg 27¢	$202.5	$228.75	+$26.25	50% 585-585 (1170)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0	Patrick Zahrajavg 47.3¢	$95.98	$199.08	+$103.1	52% 6060-5587 (11647)
EU Eulhunter	Patrick Zahrajavg 61¢	$224.12	$187.04	-$37.08	53% 6779-5931 (12710)
tradecraftCTR	Sebastian Dominkoavg 79¢	$154.05	$149.18	-$4.88	51% 6692-6432 (13124)
machinelearned	Patrick Zahrajavg 55.9¢	$112.2	$115.83	+$3.64	54% 10225-8705 (18930)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Sebastian Dominkoavg 79¢	$95.96	$80.1	-$5.45	50% 23496-23498 (46994)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Patrick Zahrajavg 77.9¢	$50.64	$64.97	+$14.33	57% 20233-15052 (35285)
RO robustmstCTR	Sebastian Dominkoavg 39.3¢	$46.4K	$59.07	$-46.3K	48% 124-133 (257)
CI cigarettes<$100	Patrick Zahrajavg 62¢	$31	$49.98	+$18.98	50% 65492-65807 (131299)
EF efntrickCTR<$100	Sebastian Dominkoavg 76¢	$35.85	$32.78	-$3.07	49% 3725-3946 (7671)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Sebastian Dominkoavg 76.2¢	$25.66	$24.13	-$1.54	52% 27288-24794 (52082)
TRCM<$100	Patrick Zahrajavg 40¢	$20.5	$23.61	+$3.11	55% 4122-3323 (7445)

ferrariChampions2026

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$40,905.9

Value

$64.9K

PnL

+$24.0K

Record

46%

33417-38911 (72328)

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$17,068.03

Value

$28.5K

PnL

+$11.5K

Record

53%

6645-5939 (12584)

Flaznorp

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$4,874.81

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

52%

47368-44608 (91976)

RN1

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$3,215.69

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$2.6K

Record

53%

70249-61821 (132070)

38791873984189

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$4,943.07

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$2.8K

Record

48%

70301-75984 (146285)

LightParadoxCTR

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$5,501.92

Value

$3.4K

PnL

$-2.1K

Record

47%

2157-2403 (4560)

VenusianCTR

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$4,883.28

Value

$2.9K

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

47%

2189-2445 (4634)

Limousin

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$2,215.56

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$138.97

Record

49%

2223-2352 (4575)

sentrio

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$1,273.26

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$684.62

Record

50%

27970-27422 (55392)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$1,005.7

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$615.59

Record

46%

2028-2381 (4409)

MadridTimeCTR

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$5,391.86

Value

$1.5K

PnL

$-3.9K

Record

47%

2148-2414 (4562)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$305.01

Value

$508.1

PnL

+$203.09

Record

56%

39466-31114 (70580)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$248.74

Value

$282.02

PnL

+$33.27

Record

53%

15513-13750 (29263)

0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$202.5

Value

$228.75

PnL

+$26.25

Record

50%

585-585 (1170)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$95.98

Value

$199.08

PnL

+$103.1

Record

52%

6060-5587 (11647)

Eulhunter

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$224.12

Value

$187.04

PnL

-$37.08

Record

53%

6779-5931 (12710)

tradecraftCTR

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$154.05

Value

$149.18

PnL

-$4.88

Record

51%

6692-6432 (13124)

machinelearned

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$112.2

Value

$115.83

PnL

+$3.64

Record

54%

10225-8705 (18930)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$95.96

Value

$80.1

PnL

-$5.45

Record

50%

23496-23498 (46994)

BillBenter2026<$100

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$50.64

Value

$64.97

PnL

+$14.33

Record

57%

20233-15052 (35285)

robustmstCTR

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$46,390.1

Value

$59.07

PnL

$-46.3K

Record

48%

124-133 (257)

cigarettes<$100

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$31

Value

$49.98

PnL

+$18.98

Record

50%

65492-65807 (131299)

efntrickCTR<$100

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$35.85

Value

$32.78

PnL

-$3.07

Record

49%

3725-3946 (7671)

Pan9XCTR<$100

Sebastian Dominko

Invested

$25.66

Value

$24.13

PnL

-$1.54

Record

52%

27288-24794 (52082)

TRCM<$100

Patrick Zahraj

Invested

$20.5

Value

$23.61

PnL

+$3.11

Record

55%

4122-3323 (7445)

Research grade

NeutralPatrick Zahraj at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Patrick Zahraj

18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Patrick Zahraj wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.