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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1suitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #791
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)73% (99 of 136 open)56% (38 of 68 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1suitcase6628
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.6KUnder $2.7KOver $108
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58KCoco Gauff $463
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $10KTimberwolves $49KTimberwolves $2.5K
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $592Mavericks $156
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $903Mavericks $1.7K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $136—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.0KKings $631—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $101Celtics $921—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $155Mavericks $763—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Penguins $48Ducks $844—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $817Over $11—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $500Bucks $49—
Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $130Under $167—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $76Over $155—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Bears $27K—
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $3.9KCeltics $33K—
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $4.6KMavericks $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.2KNo $222—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $6.7K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KUnder $2.7K—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $1.0K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KUnder $1.2K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KOver $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.0KBucks $112—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.9KMavericks $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $1.0K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $421Celtics $1.1K—
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $7—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $255Celtics $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $757Mavericks $482—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96—Bears $877—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $426Clippers $331—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—