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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (2547–1041, n=3588) | 53% (494–432, n=926) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $493K | $353K | $769K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 47% (86 of 182 open) | 66% (136 of 205 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Cavaliers $1.8K | Cavaliers $13K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $13K | Cavaliers $6.5K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $90 | Under $15K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $372 | Under $8.1K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $10 | Cavaliers $4.8K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $2.8K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | Florida $2.0K | — | — |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 143.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $26 | Under $1.4K | — |
| UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders | — | Fresno State Bulldogs $1.0K | UC Riverside Highlanders $207 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | Under $972 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $637 | South Carolina $258 | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Red Wings | — | Red Wings $33 | Lightning $783 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $58 | Over $670 | — |
| South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3 | Under $286 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $193 | Under $65 | — |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $90 | Penn Quakers $153 | — |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | — | Colorado Buffaloes $229 | Providence Friars $3 | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | San Francisco Dons $113 | Portland State Vikings $52 | — |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks opposite sides · consensus UAB Blazers | — | UAB Blazers $103 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $17 | — |
| Spread: UAB Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus UAB Blazers | — | UAB Blazers $46 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $9 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $3 | Nets $11 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Pelicans $19K | — |
| Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves | — | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $8.1K | Charleston Southern Buccaneers $3.9K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $50 | Under $5.6K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $91 | Under $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $144 | Cavaliers $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $248 | Cavaliers $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $75 | Cavaliers $2.1K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $1.1K | — |
| UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $116 | Bulls $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $156 | Nuggets $608 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Under $710 | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Under $647 | — |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $38 | Under $632 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $339 | Mavericks $115 | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5) same side · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | San Francisco Dons $33 | San Francisco Dons $364 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $23 | Over $120 | — |