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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | appleperson | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (10–8, n=18) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $792K | $89 | $410K | $403K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 51% (104 of 203 open) | 50% (57 of 114 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | appleperson | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Warriors $102 | Spurs $7.4K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $133 | Over $3.2K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | — | Georgia State $6 | Georgia Southern $2.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $793 | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $182 | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $460 | Yes $1.3K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $305 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.2K | Yes $366 |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | — | Rangers $1.5K | Canucks $29 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.3K | Thunder $49 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Trail Blazers $210 | Kings $627 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $290 | Yes $362 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $343 | Over $182 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Predators | — | — | Predators $358 | Golden Knights $79 |
| Spread: Kings (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $33 | Trail Blazers $395 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $387 | Clippers $12 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $160 | Thunder $10 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $79 | Over $11 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Under $81 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6 | Under $13 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $8.2K | Spurs $8.3K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $625 | Clippers $10K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $314 | Spurs $9.6K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.0K | Spurs $2.1K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $383 | Kings $2.4K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $2.0K | Spurs $644 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Clippers $1.5K | Clippers $488 |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.2K | Spurs $259 |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | — | Rangers $221 | Rangers $1.2K |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $20 | Colorado $1.0K |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Predators $86 | Predators $458 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-26.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Trail Blazers $429 | Trail Blazers $14 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $15 | Under $49 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $2 | Kings $51 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 |