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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | googleplay | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (322–94, n=416) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | no settled market | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $391K | — | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #692 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (79 of 124 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (87 of 137 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 12) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 100% of 36) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
54 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | googleplay | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.9K | Under $86K | — | Over $298 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Kings $1.1K | Kings $44K | — | Magic $472 |
| Spread: Heat (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3.6K | — | — | Heat $31 |
| Spread: Heat (-32.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $3.3K | — | — | Heat $16 |
| Spread: Suns (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $2.5K | — | — | Suns $36 |
| Spread: Heat (-34.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.4K | — | — | Heat $16 |
| Spread: Heat (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.2K | — | — | Heat $164 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $2.1K | — | — | Clippers $6 |
| Spread: Heat (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.7K | — | — | Heat $195 |
| Spread: Heat (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.8K | — | — | Heat $65 |
| Spread: Heat (-36.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.6K | — | — | Heat $3 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $331 | — | — | Under $963 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $320 | — | — | Under $874 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $616 | — | — | Under $531 |
| Spread: Jazz (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | — | Jazz $32 |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Kings $309 | — | — | Magic $680 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $434 | — | — | Under $553 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $291 | — | — | Under $673 |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Kings $275 | — | — | Magic $626 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $502 | — | — | Under $395 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $101 | — | — | Under $767 |
| Spread: Jazz (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $817 | — | — | Jazz $15 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $191 | — | — | Over $510 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $104 | — | — | Under $557 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $586 | — | — | Under $24 |
| Spread: Jazz (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $489 | — | — | Jazz $51 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 202.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $46 | — | — | Over $468 |
| Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona State Sun Devils | Arizona State Sun Devils $469 | — | — | Hofstra Pride $31 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $12 | — | — | Suns $431 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $52 | — | — | Under $369 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 198.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $112 | — | — | Over $285 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Kings $74 | — | — | Magic $254 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 210.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $40 | — | — | Over $243 |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $50 | — | — | Suns $208 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $44 | — | — | Under $210 |
| Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | Ohio $14 | — | — | Miami (OH) $226 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $147 | — | — | Over $51 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 246.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $75 | — | — | Under $82 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 248.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | — | Under $138 |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 143.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $20 | — | — | Over $31 |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $5 | — | — | Heat $32 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8 | — | — | Under $13 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $6.7K | — | — | Heat $13K |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $4.4K | — | — | Suns $11K |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | Magic $3.1K | — | — | Magic $6.8K |
| Spread: Suns (-16.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Suns $4.6K | — | — | Suns $804 |
| Spread: Suns (-10.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $3.2K | — | — | Suns $619 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $430 | — | — | Over $3.4K |
| Spread: Suns (-18.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $3.1K | — | — | Suns $431 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5) same side · consensus Bowling Green | Bowling Green $113 | — | — | Bowling Green $3.4K |