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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99plsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)47% (705–782, n=1487)53% (542–483, n=1025)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$829K$825K$643K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #15PM monthly #98was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)60% (54 of 90 open)59% (58 of 99 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 7)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99plsgodsaveme
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $149K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $1.1KCeltics $27K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $8.6KRaptors $12K—
Spread: France (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Türkiye
—France $9.6KTürkiye $31—
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Croatia
—Czechia $8.3KCroatia $132—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $41Seahawks $7.3K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.6KOver $692—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.9KUnder $3.1K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.7KOver $2.2K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $3.3K49ers $1.6K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.6KOver $2.1K—
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3KYes $1—
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—49ers $22Cowboys $1.7K—
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $850Yes $5—
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $302Rams $10—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $183K49ers $103K—
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $33KOver $2.7K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $22KOver $161—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
—Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $17KHornets $433—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4.0KYes $12K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $12KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $9.9KJazz $650—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $10KOver $339—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Clippers $2.6KClippers $5.2K—
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0KYes $4.7K—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
—Lakers $5.7KLakers $567—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $5.3KJazz $64—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8KUnder $284—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8KYes $1.3K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $841Under $1.1K—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $916Team Spirit $981—
Spread: Rams (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rams
—Cardinals $36Cardinals $1.5K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $590Under $670—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6Under $529—
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
—Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $281—