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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardyuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$886K$502K$370K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #10was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (100 of 183 open)65% (92 of 142 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardyuyuvkxDD
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.7KNets $40K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.0KUnder $5.6K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $1.9K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.1KUnder $2.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $423Pistons $2.3K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $936—
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $616—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $657Under $922—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $214—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $879Over $352—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $710Pistons $157—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $28Over $532—
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $9Northwestern State Demons $405—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $234—
Furman Paladins vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $95—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $75Nets $2—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $16—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $5Pistons $5—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $88K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $28K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $6.5KBulls $13K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $211Under $14K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $1.0KHeat $10K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KHeat $8.4K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.6KBulls $2.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $5.1K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $3.6K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $966—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KOver $2.6K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $931Under $3.7K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $29Under $991—
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $613Grizzlies $150—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $164—
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $139Pistons $3—