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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 48% (446–481, n=927) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $567K | $398K | $521K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (117 of 171 open) | 54% (44 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $499 | Trail Blazers $29K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $9.8K | Over $17K |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $22K | Clippers $39 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $376 | Kings $22K |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $21K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $15K | Warriors $2 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $11K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $12K | Clippers $332 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.1K | Over $2 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $3.2K | Warriors $241 |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $810 | Under $847 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $3 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $391 | Under $625 |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Rockets $12 | Jazz $970 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | — | Arizona Wildcats $429 | Auburn Tigers $14 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $119 | Trail Blazers $214 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins | — | — | Maryland Terrapins $42 | Virginia Cavaliers $190 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $8.7K | Under $51K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $25K | Spurs $24K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | — | Rangers $3.5K | Rangers $39K |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $8.7K | Jazz $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $746 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $71 | Over $4.9K |
| Spread: UCLA (-7.5) same side · consensus UCLA | — | — | UCLA $620 | UCLA $3.7K |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $2.8K | Colorado $699 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.2K | Over $18 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Trail Blazers $478 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $10 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.6K | Over $5 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $844 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $40 | Clippers $558 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $173 | Warriors $77 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $172 | Clippers $25 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $44 | Kings $16 |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels same side · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels | — | — | Stanford Cardinal $2 | Stanford Cardinal $19 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $3 | Kings $5 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels same side · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | — | UIC Flames $3 | UIC Flames $2 |