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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1welcometowinnercircle
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M—
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #113PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #521
Sides with the consensus73% (99 of 136 open)73% (73 of 100 open)56% (38 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1welcometowinnercircle
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $903—Mavericks $1.7K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.4K—Over $136—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $1.0K—Kings $631—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $101—Celtics $921—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $155—Mavericks $763—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $48—Ducks $844—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $817—Over $11—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $500—Bucks $49—
Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $130—Under $167—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $76—Over $155—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $58K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $10K—Timberwolves $49K—
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $3.9K—Celtics $33K—
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $4.6K—Mavericks $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.2K—No $222—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.8K—Under $2.7K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.6K—Under $2.7K—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.6K—Over $1.0K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.3K—Under $1.2K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Over $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $3.0K—Bucks $112—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.9K—Mavericks $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $1.0K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $592—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $421—Celtics $1.1K—
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $7—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $255—Celtics $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $757—Mavericks $482—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Clippers $426—Clippers $331—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—