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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpmbmbbbmbvRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)44% (7–9, n=16)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$35K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #540PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (38 of 49 open)74% (154 of 209 open)no open consensus position58% (58 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%54% of 13 at avg 57¢, ROI +14%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)8% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)15% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)62% (won 50% of 8)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpmbmbbbmbvRN1
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $170—Cowboys $1.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $166K——Cowboys $1.1K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $139K——Eagles $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $1.2K
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Como 1907
—Como 1907 $29K—FC Internazionale Milano $45K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $43K——Eagles $6.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $22K——Cowboys $142
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $826—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $845—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $165—Lions $2.0K
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Under $83
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4K—Yes $81
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $1.1K—Arkansas Razorbacks $273
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $588—Yes $10
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $221—Rams $46
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $161—Virginia Cavaliers $13
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $46—Virginia Cavaliers $39
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $88K—Yes $13K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $74K——Giants $2.5K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $40K—No $21K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $52K—No $4.8K
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $52K—No $3.3K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $17K—No $8.7K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $1.1K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $20K—Under $402
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K——Rams $1.4K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9K—No $5.9K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10K—Yes $411
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.4K—No $392
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
—Justin Boulais $1.7K—Justin Boulais $5.5K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.0K—Over $250
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $2.9K—Filip Jeff Planinsek $3.1K
Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.6K—No $16
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
same side · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante
—Jaume Munar $648—Jaume Munar $4.7K
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.0K—Yes $1.8K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9K—Yes $1.4K
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $303
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
—Sønderjyske Fodbold $2.2K—Sønderjyske Fodbold $19
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $811—Under $812