Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5
Record (consensus markets)58% (73–52, n=125)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)47% (728–821, n=1549)49% (21–22, n=43)
Consensus PnL$2.5M$539K$718K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #14PM monthly #935
Sides with the consensus40% (6 of 15 open)52% (93 of 180 open)59% (51 of 86 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +45 pts n=14, ROI +46%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)7% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)34% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 33)11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)28% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)31% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $2.7KSuns $101Lakers $12K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $93Suns $69Suns $3.3K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $39K—Hornets $34K—
Spurs vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Jazz $177Spurs $43K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $180Clippers $10K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $548Knicks $8.7K—
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $13Jazz $9.2K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $137Wizards $8.4K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KOver $6.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $1Lakers $6.9K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0K—
Drummondville: Vignesh Gogineni vs Volodymyr Gurenko
opposite sides · consensus Vignesh Gogineni
—Volodymyr Gurenko $244Vignesh Gogineni $5.6K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $405Jazz $5.4K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $368Over $3.8K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
Spread: Rams (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $748—Cardinals $685—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20—
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $410Under $556—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $857—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $499Lakers $137—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $310—
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $125Hornets $100—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12Under $1—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9Under $2—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1.2MCowboys $11——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $584Seahawks $52K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Clippers $1.1K—Clippers $2.7K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $161Under $2.4K—
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 159.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $23Under $1.3K—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $1.2K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $937Under $7—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $924Under $6—
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
same side · consensus Texas Longhorns
—Baylor Bears $348Baylor Bears $384—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $476Under $14—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $446Under $13—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Suns $254Suns $9—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $55Under $69—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2Under $56—