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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1welcometowinnercircle
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #521
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)72% (100 of 138 open)58% (40 of 69 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1welcometowinnercircle
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $136—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $782Kings $447—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $101Celtics $921—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $155Mavericks $763—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $817Over $12—
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Penguins $48Ducks $672—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $500Bucks $49—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $376Pelicans $47—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $130Under $110—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $10KTimberwolves $49K—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Bears $26K—
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $3.9KCeltics $33K—
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $3.1KMavericks $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.3KYes $1.8K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.6KUnder $2.4K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.9KUnder $2.1K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Timberwolves $2.2KTimberwolves $2.6K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $2.5KPelicans $2.0K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KUnder $1.2K—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KOver $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $3.0KBucks $112—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.1KOver $886—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.8KMavericks $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $738—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $422Celtics $1.2K—
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $344—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $255Celtics $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $715Mavericks $482—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96—Bears $877—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Kings $356Kings $565—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—