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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 71% (2970–1233, n=4203) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $6.4K | $533K | $635K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 46% (108 of 235 open) | 52% (57 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1.1M | — | Vikings $397 | Packers $7.1K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $77K | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $61K |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pacers $84K | — | 76ers $5.8K | 76ers $2.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $75K | — | Colts $53 | Colts $1.3K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $1.2M | — | — | Saints $20 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $930K | — | Falcons $87 | — |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $204K | — | — | Packers $38K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Titans $122K | — | — | Jaguars $80K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $104K | — | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $78K | — | — | 76ers $3.1K |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $12K | Yes $3.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $11K | — | — | Packers $399 |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.3K | Over $5.0K |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $867 | Over $4.1K |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.6K | Over $937 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.4K | Yes $1.3K |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.5K | Yes $493 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Colts $272 | — | — | Dolphins $2.1K |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Ole Miss $842 | Oklahoma $694 |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $496 | — | — | Packers $63 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $28 | Under $529 |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons | — | — | Air Force Falcons $18 | Pacific Tigers $273 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $76K | — | — | Chiefs $19K |
| CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $27K | Yes $3.8K | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) same side · consensus Türkiye | — | — | France $11K | France $29 |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $153 | Mavericks $9.2K |
| Will Spain win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $4.1K | Yes $4.8K |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $8.3K | Under $9 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.1K | — | — | Cowboys $383 |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.9K | Under $9 |
| Texans vs. Browns same side · consensus Texans | — | — | Browns $14 | Browns $1.5K |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.5K | Yes $23 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $695 | Yes $641 |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $282 | Yes $22 |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $8 | Over $264 |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Under $4 |