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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)55% (23–19, n=42)47% (692–767, n=1459)53% (532–472, n=1004)
Consensus PnL$20K$881K$865K$635K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #18PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position62% (92 of 148 open)53% (58 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢—61% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢—30% (won 100% of 7)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Bills $1.7KBills $7.8K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $150K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $21KPackers $38K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Dolphins $39KColts $1.3K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $22KChiefs $19K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28KUnder $9
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $25KUnder $2.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $21K76ers $24
Spread: France (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Türkiye
——France $14KTürkiye $55
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K—Saints $2.6K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.8KUnder $123
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4.5KOver $2.2K
Spread: Panthers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $5.3K—Saints $1.4K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.0KOver $907
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $26Jets $5.2K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $4.8KCardinals $199
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $609
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KOver $270
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $585Under $876
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $558Oklahoma $694
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $38KBills $122K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $10KJaguars $80K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $23K49ers $62K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $24KUnder $27K
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
——Steelers $19KSteelers $317
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $14KBrowns $157
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7.1KOver $931
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KUnder $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Saints
——Panthers $4.5KPanthers $1.1K
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4.4KUnder $284
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KOver $264
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $2.9K—Bills $490—
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.8KOver $1.1K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $531Dolphins $2.1K
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
——Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $276
Spread: Panthers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Saints
——Panthers $175Panthers $71