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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (437–423, n=860)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$93K$4.1M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #614PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)74% (144 of 194 open)no open consensus position59% (88 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Rams $17K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.0K—Yes $2.0K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3K—Yes $614
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Under $71
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $495—Over $4
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $292—Over $124
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $114—Over $261
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $153—Bulls $106
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $134—Under $125
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $68—No $87
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $106—Samir Banerjee $2
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $30—Over $7
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4K—Broncos $46K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $28K—No $15K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22K—No $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.7K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.8K—Club Atlético de Madrid $137
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $5.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.4K—No $1.9K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.7K—No $1.7K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov
—Stefan Kozlov $4.7K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $7.9K—FC Barcelona $11
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.8K—No $5
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9K—No $439
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $5.5K
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.5K—Yes $885
Green Bay Phoenix vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
same side · consensus St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
—St. Thomas (MN) Tommies $3.5K—St. Thomas (MN) Tommies $1.7K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $4.4K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.9K—No $629
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $2.8K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.2K—Over $698
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.5K—FC Barcelona $165