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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)85% (22–4, n=26)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$318K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #13PM monthly #120PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)45% (144 of 321 open)no open consensus position53% (100 of 190 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)22% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)61% (won 100% of 14)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19K—Yes $63K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $298—Nets $22K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.3K—Nets $19K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $158—Nets $16K
Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $12K—Yes $3.5K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.7K—Yes $13K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.9K—Over $5.1K
Will Austria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.9K—Yes $516
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.5K—Yes $2.4K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.8K—Under $548
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $518—Yes $3.0K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $186—Over $1.9K
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Denmark $731—Portugal $799
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $958—Mavericks $120
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $690—Over $351
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $263—Oklahoma $507
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23—Kraken $341
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $253—Under $2
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $39—Over $2
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $25—Denmark $6
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $4.8K—Nets $27K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13K—Under $364
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Under $581
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Over $74
Spread: Poland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Poland
—Poland $1.7K—Poland $2
Portugal vs. Denmark: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $117—Over $930
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $987—Yes $25
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397—Duke $388
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $257—Under $419
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6—Georgia State $520
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $234
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
—Cincinnati $7—Cincinnati $218
Spread: Poland (-2.5)
same side · consensus Romania
—Poland $44—Poland $150
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $41—Over $104
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $123—Yes $3
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $36—Under $4