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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)56% (10–8, n=18)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (345–290, n=635)no settled market
Consensus PnL$792K$410K$403K—
Tracked asPM monthly #28PM monthly #14PM monthly #105PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (104 of 203 open)50% (57 of 114 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 4)21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99wata33-ts
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $102Spurs $7.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $133Over $3.2K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $793Over $1.2K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $182Trail Blazers $1.6K—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $460Yes $1.3K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KOver $305—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $366—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KCanucks $29—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.3KThunder $49—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $210Kings $627—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $290Yes $362—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $343Over $182—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $358Golden Knights $79—
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $33Trail Blazers $395—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $387Clippers $12—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $160Thunder $10—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79Over $11—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $81—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $13—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KSpurs $8.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $625Clippers $10K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $314Spurs $9.6K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $1.8K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.0KSpurs $2.1K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $383Kings $2.4K—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $2.0KSpurs $644—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.5KClippers $488—
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.2KSpurs $259—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $221Rangers $1.2K—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $20Colorado $1.0K—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $86Predators $458—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-26.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $429Trail Blazers $14—
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $15Under $49—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $2Kings $51—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—