Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)53% (2489–2225, n=4714)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$12K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #981PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (115 of 152 open)62% (39 of 63 open)52% (15 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 96% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 333)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 527)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 97% of 147)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $354—Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
Alisa Oktiabreva $1.9K—Angela Fita Boluda $31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $685
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $215No $9—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $199Under $2—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $183Under $10—
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
Gina Feistel $150—Ksenia Zaytseva $8
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $6—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $20K—Maria Sakkari $9.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $7No $5.3K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2KNo $21—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9KNo $1.0K—
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
Martha MATOULA $934—Martha MATOULA $1.9K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.3KNo $4—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0KOver $6—
M25 Heraklion: Alexandre Aubriot vs Robin Bertrand
same side · consensus Robin Bertrand
Robin Bertrand $1.6K—Robin Bertrand $276
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $9—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
Cezar Cretu $246—Cezar Cretu $1.1K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $11—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $9—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $913No $82—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
No $604No $378—
Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $895No $10—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $875No $10—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $494No $304—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $551Over $10—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $512No $9—
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $233No $114—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $297No $10—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $297No $10—
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $301No $4—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $84—Yes $124
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh
same side · consensus Clement Chidekh
Clement Chidekh $120Clement Chidekh $10—
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $107No $8—
Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $92Under $8—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $82Noma Noha Akugue $8—
Will Arema FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $73No $2—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $45Tommy Paul $10—