Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue

9 of 17 top Polymarket traders hold Noma Noha Akugue (53%) · Noma Noha Akugue at 83¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 13

Justina Mikulskyte18¢Noma Noha Akugue82¢Ends Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Noma Noha Akugue

Consensus Traders

Noma Noha Akugue 53%

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

$5.23

Smart Money Entry

82.2¢ → 82.5¢

+0% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralNoma Noha Akugue at 83%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Noma Noha Akugue

9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Justina Mikulskyte18%

Noma Noha Akugue83%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Noma Noha Akugue9 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,525

Combined PnL+$7.12

Justina Mikulskyte8 traders

Total Value$266.06

Total Shares1,519

Combined PnL-$1.9

Noma Noha Akugue — 53%Justina Mikulskyte — 47%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 83%

Freshness

Fresh

12h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

73% of non-arb traders are on Noma Noha Akugue. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 83% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrNoma Noha Akugue 88% · 8

Aligned

Hand-pickedNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Noma Noha Akugue 67% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	+$10.41	58% 47031-33914 (80945)
38 38791873984189CTR	Justina Mikulskyteavg 18¢	$180	$175	-$5	48% 61866-66730 (128596)
0xheavy888	Noma Noha Akugueavg 84¢	$168	$165	-$3	56% 8098-6422 (14520)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 83¢	$83.44	$82.43	-$1.01	51% 26313-24941 (51254)
Basquetipster<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82.7¢	$78.32	$77.62	+$0.47	53% 1786-1560 (3346)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 17.4¢	$26.58	$27.57	+$0.98	49% 1535-1615 (3150)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 16.7¢	$24.76	$25.25	+$0.74	50% 1580-1596 (3176)
SE sentrio<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 83¢	$19.1	$18.87	-$0.12	50% 26083-25738 (51821)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 17.7¢	$17.51	$17.8	+$0.29	50% 1593-1622 (3215)
PA Pan9X<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82¢	$33	$16.71	+$0.31	54% 10086-8470 (18556)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 16.8¢	$12.83	$12.96	+$0.77	61% 14437-9368 (23805)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82.3¢	$12.35	$12.38	+$0.03	52% 8836-8034 (16870)
rayvanmechelen<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 81¢	$7.6	$7.69	+$0.09	53% 2616-2309 (4925)
GL glennyorkshire<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 83.7¢	$4.19	$4.13	-$0.06	44% 188-236 (424)
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 17¢	$3.06	$3.15	+$0.09	51% 4823-4684 (9507)
RN1CTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 17¢	$3	$3.09	+$0.09	53% 61724-54036 (115760)
GC GC-PCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 16¢	$1.12	$1.26	+$0.14	64% 10089-5691 (15780)

VeryLucky888

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$1,691.94

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$10.41

Record

58%

47031-33914 (80945)

38791873984189CTR

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$180

Value

$175

PnL

-$5

Record

48%

61866-66730 (128596)

0xheavy888

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$168

Value

$165

PnL

-$3

Record

56%

8098-6422 (14520)

Flaznorp<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$83.44

Value

$82.43

PnL

-$1.01

Record

51%

26313-24941 (51254)

Basquetipster<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$78.32

Value

$77.62

PnL

+$0.47

Record

53%

1786-1560 (3346)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$26.58

Value

$27.57

PnL

+$0.98

Record

49%

1535-1615 (3150)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$24.76

Value

$25.25

PnL

+$0.74

Record

50%

1580-1596 (3176)

sentrio<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$19.1

Value

$18.87

PnL

-$0.12

Record

50%

26083-25738 (51821)

VenusianCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$17.51

Value

$17.8

PnL

+$0.29

Record

50%

1593-1622 (3215)

Pan9X<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$33

Value

$16.71

PnL

+$0.31

Record

54%

10086-8470 (18556)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$12.83

Value

$12.96

PnL

+$0.77

Record

61%

14437-9368 (23805)

ameisgoat11<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$12.35

Value

$12.38

PnL

+$0.03

Record

52%

8836-8034 (16870)

rayvanmechelen<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$7.6

Value

$7.69

PnL

+$0.09

Record

53%

2616-2309 (4925)

glennyorkshire<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$4.19

Value

$4.13

PnL

-$0.06

Record

44%

188-236 (424)

6512395314597884CTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$3.06

Value

$3.15

PnL

+$0.09

Record

51%

4823-4684 (9507)

RN1CTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

Value

$3.09

PnL

+$0.09

Record

53%

61724-54036 (115760)

GC-PCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$1.12

Value

$1.26

PnL

+$0.14

Record

64%

10089-5691 (15780)

Research grade

NeutralNoma Noha Akugue at 83%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Noma Noha Akugue

9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 83%

Freshness

Fresh

12h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

73% of non-arb traders are on Noma Noha Akugue. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 83% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrNoma Noha Akugue 88% · 8

Aligned

Hand-pickedNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Noma Noha Akugue 67% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Noma Noha Akugue wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance84.2%

82.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$18.78

Max Loss

-$100.00

118.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.