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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)53% (2477–2212, n=4689)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$12K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #105was PM monthly #981PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (147 of 199 open)68% (59 of 87 open)56% (31 of 55 open)63% (30 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)51% (won 98% of 507)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

47 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1rayvanmechelenRN1
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
James Kent Trotter $1.0K—Andres Andrade $5James Kent Trotter $27K
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $444—Heat $3Warriors $107
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1Over $13
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $28K——Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—No $13—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.2K——Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $279——Ipek Oz $678
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $81——Warriors $500
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $47——No $361
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $213—No $9—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9——No $200
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $199—Under $2—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $183—Under $10—
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $144—Heat $6—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127—SD Eibar $6—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $27—Franco Roncadelli $1—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus Clube do Remo
SE Palmeiras $29K——SE Palmeiras $15K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Marco Cecchinato $4.5K——Marco Cecchinato $34K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.6K——Under $1.4K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6.0K——No $143
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $21—
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
Blu Baker $3.7K——Blu Baker $289
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $3.1K——SE Palmeiras $748
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.3K——Over $501
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.6K——Over $760
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1K—Yes $13—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $998—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $6—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Over $870
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.4K—Over $9—
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $656——No $685
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Canucks $22——Canucks $1.2K
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
Sydney FC $1.1K—Sydney FC $10—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $9—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $913—No $82—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
No $597—No $374—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $637——Under $322
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $870—No $10—
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $578——Over $289
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499—No $307—
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $462——No $267