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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)53% (2489–2225, n=4714)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$12K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11was PM monthly #981PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)71% (118 of 166 open)62% (41 of 66 open)42% (10 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 96% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 333)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 527)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 97% of 147)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4KAlexandra Eala $10K—Alexandra Eala $46K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494No $304—
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Mai Hontama $724Mai Hontama $3.4K—Mai Hontama $6.2K
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $493Noma Noha Akugue $8Noma Noha Akugue $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $585—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $312—No $12
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $213No $9—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $197Under $2—
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183Under $10—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129SD Eibar $5—
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $122Under $7—
Will Lamphun Warriors FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $66Yes $58
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1Under $31—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2KYes $40——
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $21—
Will FC Vizela win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KYes $882—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $1.0K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.3KNo $4—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $6—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KOver $9—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $11—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $9—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $913No $82—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $604No $378—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $870No $10—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $551Over $10—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $512No $9—
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Oriol Roca Batalla
—Oriol Roca Batalla $474Oriol Roca Batalla $10—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $211No $114—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $296No $10—
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $294No $10—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $191No $18—
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh
same side · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Clement Chidekh $120Clement Chidekh $10—
Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $92Under $8—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $7No $2—