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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)53% (2494–2227, n=4721)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$13K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #981PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus74% (175 of 235 open)66% (63 of 95 open)51% (32 of 63 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 96% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 333)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 527)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 97% of 147)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $11—Yes $757
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $357Spurs $329Kings $110—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192No $249
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348Under $7Under $81—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $129SD Eibar $5—CD Pamplona $6
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $19KNo $363No $22K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $494No $304—No $15K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $970No $10No $6.5K—
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5KNo $9No $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1KUnder $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K—Yes $3.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $4.3K—Taylor Fritz $1.4K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $3.8K—Max Hans Rehberg $36—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $268—Ipek Oz $680—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $595——
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $428Over $9——
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $408—Under $5—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $222—Hornets $116—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188—Cavaliers $108—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3—Juan Carlos Prado $268—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $207No $9——
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $62Under $144—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $197Under $2——
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $183Under $10——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $133——Yes $2
Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern Wildcats $7Stony Brook Seawolves $48——
Will Bristol Rovers FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $32No $20——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12—
Spread: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern Eagles
Georgia Southern Eagles $40Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets $3——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7—Yes $3
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5No $2——
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K—No $15K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Over $5.9K—