Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)53% (2442–2137, n=4579)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$20K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24was PM monthly #981PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (24 of 34 open)75% (162 of 217 open)62% (44 of 71 open)55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Zeynep Sonmez $22KMika Stojsavljevic $10Zeynep Sonmez $79K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.6KNo $307—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $569Yes $1.0K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $489Yes $9—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280Yes $173—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $323Over $8—
Will Kitchee win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $258No $10—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $194Under $2—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183Under $10—
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
—FC Red Bull Salzburg $158RSC Anderlecht $34—
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $93Yes $77—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $6—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103Over $2—
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $97No $8—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $74Under $16—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $68Under $14—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong
——Coleman Wong $10Chun-Chien Hou $69
SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $49Under $9—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $20Adrian Andreev $6—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $10—
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7Under $3—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $5.0K—Anna Blinkova $40K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $75—Mai Hontama $8.3K
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
—Ksenia Zaytseva $1.5K—Ksenia Zaytseva $5.6K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $21—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $983No $989—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KOver $9—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $10Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $11—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $893No $80—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $875No $10—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
—Sydney FC $696Sydney FC $10—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $589No $9—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $514Over $10—