Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)53% (2829–2500, n=5329)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$5.2K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8was PM monthly #981PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (82 of 117 open)no open consensus position56% (14 of 25 open)45% (29 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=962, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 96% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 98% of 337)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 98% of 533)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 97% of 149)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelenRN1
CD Unión La Calera vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Over $469Over $141
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.6K——Under $518
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $4.0K——Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K——Under $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K—No $296—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.7K——No $216
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.8K——76ers $1
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $916——76ers $575
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Under $25
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.1K——Bulls $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $336—Over $563—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686—No $21—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280—Yes $173—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $65——Richmond Spiders $207
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $107——Under $116
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $197—Under $2—
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $6—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $4.8K——Coco Gauff $31K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.1K——Over $318
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $2.8K——Richmond Spiders $595
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $1.3K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Over $46
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $12—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612——Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $362—No $19—
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $159—No $164—
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $8——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $244
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
same side · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—FK Kolos Kovalivka $15—